نوع مقاله : علمی- پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکترای اقتصاد، گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، ایران
2 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، ایران
3 دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، ایران
4 استادیار گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Economic sanctions have been used as one of the strongest tools of pressure on countries in recent years, and their effects can put severe pressure on countries' economies. Iran has also faced many restrictions in international trade due to these sanctions. In such conditions, circumventing sanctions and finding alternative routes to maintain minimal trade is essential. This study examines the effects of sanctions on Iran's imports from China using the Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model for three different product groups. The independent variables of the research include the sanctions index, China's GDP, and the exchange rate, for which data has been collected and analyzed on a monthly basis for the period 2011 to 2022. The results show that sanctions have had different effects on the import of consumer, intermediate, and capital goods in each of the two regimes. In the first regime, sanctions reduced imports of consumer, capital, and intermediate goods from China, but in the second regime, sanctions increased imports of these three product groups from China. The exchange rate and China's GDP have a positive and significant effect on the import of intermediate goods under severe sanctions, while this effect is not significant for consumer and capital goods.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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