نوع مقاله : علمی- پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشیار گروه اقتصاد انرژی، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران
2 دانشجوی دکتری علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران.
3 دانش‌آموخته کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Analyzing the impact of budget deficit, trade deficit, and the gap between savings and investment on economic welfare in Iran is a key issue in understanding the economic challenges of this country. This research employs a autoregressive distributed lag model to examine this topic in the Iranian economy from 1971 to 2023. The measure of economic welfare in this study is a composite welfare index. Short-term results indicate that the ratio of budget deficit to production and the ratio of trade deficit to production have negative effects on welfare, respectively. Additionally, the ratio of the savings and investment gap to production positively influences welfare. Inflation and per capita income also have negative and positive effects on welfare, respectively. In terms of magnitude, the adverse effect of the budget deficit is greater than that of the trade deficit, and the former's effect dominates the positive effect of the savings gap on production. However, regardless of whether they are desirable or undesirable, the magnitude of the effects of the trade deficit and budget deficit is larger than that of the savings and investment gap. In the long term, similar results are observed, with the positive effect of ...
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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